14 March 2020

Herd immunity ...........


Evidently the Government's strategy regarding Corona Virus is to encourage 'herd immunity'. The idea is that if enough people (the herd) acquire the infection then the wider herd (us) will acquire immunity, if, that is, being infected and recovering does confer immunity. The figures quoted in order to acquire 'herd immunity' suggest that between 60% and 70% of the population need to become infected. Based on a UK population of 64M, that means that some 40M people need to become infected and, as a consequence, some 400,000 will die (based upon a 1% mortality rate).

This is great news for a Conservative government because, after a decade of austerity has undermined  the health service, killing off 1% of the infected population will reduce the burden on our over-stretched social services. Maybe this is another example of Dominic Cummings' 'weirdos' thinking outside the box but it is definitely bad news for anyone in the 'at risk' category.